PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS: FIRST-ROUND

Turkiye Raporu

April 2023

When asked about the first-round presidential elections, 40.7% of the participants stated that they would vote for Kılıçdaroğlu, the Nation Alliance candidate.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the candidate of the People’s Alliance, received 38.5 % of the votes.

Muharrem İnce’s vote rate is 10.1 %.

Sinan Oğan, the candidate of the ATA Alliance, received 2.7 % of the votes. 8% of the respondents stated that they
would not vote.

When we exclude the voters who state that they will not vote, none of the candidates can secure the majority according to the poll results.

Accordingly, the election will prolong into the second round.

When we exclude the voters who would not vote, Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu’s share of the vote rises up to 44.3 %.

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ranks second with 41.8 % of the vote.

Muharrem İnce’s share of the vote rises to 11%, while Sinan Oğan gets 2.9 % of the votes.

In both gender groups, the most common response was Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu.

Among both male and female respondents, the rate of those who said that they would support Kılıçdaroğlu in case of a second round of the presidential elections is higher than the rate of those who support Erdoğan.

While 51 % of the male respondents chose Kılıçdaroğlu, this rate was 45 % among the female respondents.

On the other hand, the rate of those who would not vote in the second round of the presidential elections is 11% among female and 8% among male respondents.

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS: SECOND ROUND

The age groups with the highest support for Erdoğan are 25-34 and 35-44.
Among all age groups, the difference between Erdoğan and Kılıçdaroğlu’s support varies between 3%-22%.
Except for two age groups, the support for Kılıçdaroğlu is above the support for Erdoğan.

Among the 25-34 and 35-44 age groups, the rate of those who say that they will vote for Erdoğan exceeds Kılıçdaroğlu.

The rate of those who state that they would support Kılıçdaroğlu in case of a second round of the elections rises to 57% in the 55-64 age group.